Monthly Archives: January 2014

Shadow economy on SEPA’s eve

The so called shadow economy still matters and though it has gone down by a meaningful share of GDP in world economies it isn’t yet the shadow of what it used to be until a few years ago. The art and science of gauging macroeconomic quantities tells us that nominal GDP (i.e.

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Posted in Economics
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Predicting human resources in small business

It may leave you only cautiously optimistic knowing when it’s likely to interview the right candidate for recruitment, but it is better than nothing. One common issue businesses, and to a greater extent small businesses, face in managing their HR policies is staff turnover. With a local job market - in full swing in

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Posted in Economics, Management, R-stats
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Yanis Varoufakis on Seven Economic Views on Christmas Presents

Really worth reading (as is anything from Yanis V.) | Seven Economic Views on Christmas Presents: with best wishes for 2014 | Yanis Varoufakis.

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Posted in Economics
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2014: recovery or complacency?

As the world comes slowly into 2014 the October 2013 IMF ‘World Economic Outlook’ forecasts keep looming an inauspicious year for the developed and recession-hardened euro economies. Recovery is strongly hoped for, but trails lazily behind. A look at the global economic view casts a grey shadow (nearly literally by considering

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Posted in Economics
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EFPA EFA score: Bayes’ prediction power (Italian)

La stima dei parametri di input nel modello media-varianza è uno dei punti cruciali di difficoltà con cui si cimentano gli investitori che intendano aggiungere rigore oggettivo e allo stesso tempo sottrarre distorsione soggettiva al problema fondamentale delle scelte di portafoglio. La stima della probabilità che un evento si veri fichi condizionata a

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Posted in Economics, Whitepapers
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